GROUND GAME MAGAZINE ® REPORTS
A definite “race to watch” is the faceoff for Texas House District 137 between increasingly popular Kendall L. Baker and his opponent, Gene Wu. Gene Wu is no stranger to politics and his name no stranger to voters; but Kendall Baker’s confidence and best assets in winning over Wu lays in his strategy, as well as his competence, experience and passion to serve that constituency. “If he can raise the funds needed to mount an effective ground game, Kendall L. Baker could very well win the State Representative House District 137 seat,” says Aubrey R. Taylor, publisher of Houston Business Connections Newspaper® and Ground Game Magazine®.
RACE ANALYSIS
The race analysis for State Representative House District 137 by Aubrey R. Taylor reveals a contest between Kendall L. Baker and State Rep. Gene Wu that could be much closer than some “POLITICAL INSIDERS” and “PUNDITS” would have the electorate to believe. This is especially true given the fact that over 39,951 (of the eligible 49,964) registered voters living in this district didn’t even bother to go to the polls in either the Democratic or Republican Primaries held on Tuesday, March 1, 2016.
The 10,013 voters who voted in this race represent a mere 20 percent of voters eligible to cast a ballot in the House District 137 Primary race held on March 1, 2016. This indicates that at least 80% of eligible voters in House District 137 are up for grabs, or more appropriately, available for the proper political courting by the candidate who has the wisdom and the resources to mount an effective and comprehensive “ground game” in order to engage, inform, inspire and mobilize voters to support their candidacy.
THE NUMBERS DON’T LIE
The numbers provided above are based on the voting statistics published by the Harris County Clerk which clearly showed the combined “Democratic Primary” and “Republican Primary” voter turnout was only 10,013. So, voters, candidates, and strategists should keep in mind that there are more than 49,964 registered voters living in House District 137; leaving at least 39,951 eligible voters available for the candidates to capture and convince in their contest to win this seat.
HEAD TO HEAD SHOWDOWN
Here’s a quick glance at how a head-to-head showdown between challenger Kendall L. Baker and State Rep. Gene Wu could have looked back on Tuesday, March 1, 2016, if we added (for sake of hypothetical analysis and projection) the actual votes they received, plus the number of under votes that were recorded in their respective primary races:
KENDALL L. BAKER
2,869 (REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTES)
+ 1,778 (UNDER VOTES) = 4,647
Source: The numbers used in this chart were taken from data provided in the Harris County Clerk's election results for the Tuesday, March 1, 2016 Republican Primary. Click this link to view the actual turnout numbers and data. Call (281)788-3033 if you have any questions about this report.
GENE WU
2,957 (DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTES)
+ 798 (UNDER VOTES) = 3,755
Source: The numbers used in this chart were taken from data provided in the Harris County Clerk's election results for the Tuesday, March 1, 2016 Democratic Primary. Click this link to view the actual turnout numbers and data. Call (281)788-3033 if you have any questions about this report.
QUESTION: WHAT ARE UNDER VOTES?
An under vote occurs when the number of choices selected by voters in a contest is less than the minimum number allowed for that contest. However, an under vote can also occur when a voter chooses to not vote in a particular (race) or contest. The graphic above shows the number of votes each candidate received in the Tuesday, March 1, 2016 “Primary Election” for their respective Party.
PREVAILING QUESTION: WHICH CANDIDATE WINS IF ALL ELIGIBLE VOTERS VOTE?
Given the above statistical analysis, the prevailing and reasonable question at this juncture may be, “Which candidate would be polling in first place if ALL eligible voters in District 137 had voted in the March 1, 2016 Primary election, OR, may be easily projected to win the seat if ALL eligible voters actually come to the polls and vote in the November 8, 2016 General Election?” ANSWER? It Depends.
VOTERS SHOULD VOTE FOR THE BEST QUALIFIED CANDIDATES
Voters in Texas have options that bear significantly on the outcome of races. On Tuesday, November 8, 2016, voters in Texas will have the “OPTION” of voting “STRAIGHT‐TICKET.” However, they will also be afforded the “OPTION” to vote a “STRAIGHT‐TICKET,” yet at the same time, “SELECT INDIVIDUAL CANDIDATES” in races where they identify a “BETTER QUALIFIED” or “BETTER EQUIPPED” candidate whom they feel may represent their interests. In other words, voters may vote strictly according to “Party” lines, or may opt to “cross-over” to vote for their candidates of choice in particular races.
STRAIGHT TICKET VOTING WILL BE KEY IN NOVEMBER GENERAL ELECTION
The coveted “STRAIGHT TICKET” vote will be a key factor in the race for State Representative for House District 137. Remember, voters could not vote a “STRAIGHT TICKET” in either the “DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY” or “REPUBLICAN PRIMARY” held back on Tuesday, March 1, 2016. But, “STRAIGHT TICKET” voting will be allowed in the Tuesday, November 8, 2016 “PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION” when Kendall L. Baker and State Rep. Gene Wu face off in the race for State Representative House District 137.
OVERVIEW OF STRAIGHT‐TICKET VOTING IN TEXAS
According to information obtained from Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia: In Texas, a vote for a straight‐ party ticket casts votes for all party candidates in all races where the party is fielding a candidate and the voter is eligible to cast a vote, from the President/Vice President (or Governor) to the county constable or justice of the peace.
A voter, however, may opt to vote a straight‐party ticket and subsequently cast an individual vote in a particular race. This may happen in cases where
1. the voter's party did not field a candidate in a specific race, and the voter wants to cast a vote in that race for one of the candidates from another party, and/or
2. the voter does not wish to support the party's candidate in a specific race, but wishes to vote for another candidate in that race. (However, Texas does not have a "none of the above" option. In a case where a voter wishes not to vote for any candidate in a race where his/her party is fielding one, the voter must cast a vote in each individual race separately and cannot choose the straight‐party option.) An individual vote will override the straight‐party vote, but only in those specific races where an individual’s vote is actually cast.
Straight‐party voting is only available in the general election for partisan elections. It is not available for:
· party primary elections;
· non‐partisan races such as City Council or School Board elections (Even if a slate of candidates is endorsed by a particular group, the slate cannot be elected on a single ticket, each candidate must be selected individually by the voter);
· ballot issues (such as an amendment to the Texas Constitution or a measure to approve bonds and assess taxes for their repayment), even if a political party officially endorses or opposes such an amendment.
In those cases where a partisan election is combined with a non‐partisan election and/or ballot issues, the voter can vote straight‐party in the partisan portion, but then must vote individually in the other portion(s).
IS DISTRICT 137 REALLY A DEMOCRATIC STRONGHOLD?
House District 137 is widely considered to be a Democratic district. However, given the historic low voter turnout for this district, Kendall L. Baker (or any other candidate) is more than capable of winning House District 137 with the right ground game and funding. However, it’s hard to defeat incumbents without the necessary funds to do so – that is why supporting the candidates you believe in is crucial.
Campaign contributions are a key component that enables a given candidate to mount an aggressive campaign focused on engagement, education and mobilization.
THE LIBERTARIAN FACTOR
Dan Biggs, a Libertarian candidate, will also be on the Tuesday, November 8, 2016 “GENERAL ELECTION” Ballot in the race for State Representative for House District 137 along with Kendall L. Baker and State Rep. Gene Wu. The fact that this is a “PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION” year may also be a factor.
NUMBER OF REGISTERED VOTERS IN HOUSE DISTRICT 137
Based on numbers obtained from the latest election returns published by the Harris County Clerk, there are approximately 49,964 registered voters living in House District 137.
NUMBER OF VOTING AGE RESIDENTS LIVING IN HOUSE DISTRICT 137
At the time the last Census Report numbers were released, there were 127,834 residents of voting age living in House District 137. Kendall L. Baker will need to convince these voting age residents to turn out for him on Tuesday, November 8, 2016. He must encourage the vast majority of these presently registered voters to turn out for him. But he must also engage and encourage those who are not currently registered to vote to get registered to vote by Tuesday, October 11, 2016.
NUMBER OF VOTING AGE ANGLO RESIDENTS IN HOUSE DISTRICT 137
At the time the last Census Report numbers were released, 24,006 residents of voting age identified themselves as “ANGLO” in House District 137. To defeat the incumbent, Kendall L. Baker will need to connect with these residents and convince these ANGLO voters that he is the best person to represent their interests and to be their voice in the legislature.
NUMBER OF VOTING AGE BLACK RESIDENTS IN HOUSE DISTRICT 137
At the time the last Census Report numbers were released, 24,597 residents of voting age identified themselves as “BLACK” OR “AFRICAN AMERICAN” in House District 137. To defeat the incumbent, Kendall L. Baker will have to convince BLACK voters living in House District 137 to “CROSSOVER” and vote for him. Many of these voters will be registered Democrats. However, if Baker reaches out to these voters and connects with these voters on a personal level through an effective “ground game” or campaign strategy, they may give him just the boost of voter support he needs to prevail in capturing this seat. Kendall L. Baker can tell these voters to go ahead and vote their “STRAIGHT‐TICKET”; BUT ask them to go back and vote specifically for him in the race for State Representative for House District 137. If Baker convinces a small portion of the Democratic BLACK voters in House District 137 to “CROSSOVER,” he could very well defeat Wu in this race.
VOTING AGE HISPANIC RESIDENTS IN HOUSE DISTRICT 137
Contrary to popular belief, House District 137 is not an Asian district as some people proclaim.
At the time the last Census Report numbers were taken, 65,881 of the voting age residents living in House District 137 identified themselves as “HISPANIC.” Given this statistic, outreach to HISPANIC voters, precincts, and neighborhoods must be a vital part of Kendall L. Baker’s ground game if he plans to defeat the incumbent. Baker should develop and send out campaign material in English and Spanish. He should also spend a considerable amount of time “BLOCK WALKING” in HISPANIC neighborhoods to let them know that he is the man who will represent their interests in the legislature.
OTHER VOTING AGE RESIDENTS LIVING IN HOUSE DISTRICT 137
At the time the last Census Report numbers were taken, there were roughly 14,819 residents of voting age living in House District 137. This group of voting age residents includes a large number of Asian voters and serves as the voter base for State Rep. Gene Wu. However, Kendall L. Baker should not concede these voters to the incumbent. Rather, Baker should try to identify people within this group who feel underserved and convince them that he’s the best candidate to represent their interests and concerns in the legislature should they choose to elect him on Tuesday, November 8, 2016.
ABOUT THE PUBLISHER
Aubrey R. Taylor, President and CEO of Aubrey R. Taylor Communications, Publisher of Houston Business Connections Newspaper® and Ground Game Magazine®, has more than 25 years of experience working directly with candidates, campaigns, small businesses and corporations on branding and marketing related strategies. Call (281)788‐3033 for more information.
As President and CEO of Aubrey R. Taylor Communications, the publisher of Houston Business Connections Newspaper® and Ground Game Magazine® I am imploring every warm-blooded American to put people over politics when selecting candidates during the "2016 Presidential Election Cycle" that's currently in full swing. I’m also asking for you to vote for and support "QUALIFIED CANDIDATES" who "EXPRESS AND DEMONSTRATE" a sincere desire and willingness to represent "ALL CONSTITUENTS" who dwell within the jurisdictions to which they've been duly elected "BY THE PEOPLE" to serve during this very important and pivotal election cycle.
AUBREY R. TAYLOR: "Judge Elaine Palmer will be in a Tuesday, May 24, 2016 Democratic Party Primary Runoff Election Race with fellow Democrat JoAnn Storey running for the 215th Civil District Court in Harris County, Texas."
On Tuesday, May 24, 2016 our friend and supporter Judge Elaine Palmer will be facing off against her Democratic rival JoAnn Storey. Judge Elaine Palmer is asking for your vote and support in this race. The race for District Judge for the 215th Judicial District in Harris County will be held on Tuesday, May 24, 2016 to decide who will represent the Democratic Party on the Tuesday, November 8, 2016 General Election ballot. Judge Elaine Palmer is the incumbent in this race. The winner of the Tuesday, May 24, 2016 Democratic Party Primary election will then have to face off against Fred Shuchart the Republican nominee. As of today, Judge Elaine Palmer is the only candidate asking for our prayers, vote and support in the Tuesday, May 24, 2016 Democratic Primary "Runoff Race" for District Judge for the 215th Judicial District Court in Harris County, Texas. Early voting for this race will begin on Monday, May 16, 2016 and end on Friday, May 20, 2016. So, don't forget to vote early!
AUBREY R. TAYLOR: "Judge Clyde Leuchtag will be on the Tuesday, November 8, 2016 Presidential Election ballot running in the race for Harris County Civil District Court at Law #1 against Democrat George Barnstone."
Our friend and supporter Clyde Raymond Leuchtag would like for you to mark your calendar for Tuesday, November 8, 2016. In the race for Judge, County Civil Court at Law No. 1 -- Clyde Raymond Leuchtag is the nominee who will represent the Republican Party on the Tuesday, November 8, 2016 General Election ballot. On the Democratic side, George Barnstone defeated F. Richard Leach to earn the right to represent the Democratic Party in the race for Judge, County Civil Court at Law No. 1 in the November General Election. As of today, Judge Leuchtag is the only candidate asking for our prayers, vote and support in the race for Judge for Harris County Civil Court at Law #1. Early voting for this election will begin on Monday, October 24, 2016 and end on Friday, November 4, 2016. So don't forget to vote during the early voting period! Judge Leuchtag is the incumbent in this race.
ALL CANDIDATES ARE WELCOME TO ASK FOR THE SUPPORT OF OUR "OPEN-MINDED" READER BASE
Every candidate, without respect to “Political Party Affiliation” is invited to seek the vote and support of our diverse and very “OPEN-MINDED” reader base. And please don't forget that Ground-Game Magazine® was born to combat “VOTER APATHY” and get more Americans inspired and encouraged to get off the sidelines and into the fight for territory that’s currently taking place in our nation. Our mission is to help our readership identify the candidates who value and respect our vote! So if you are looking for the perfect branding, marketing and public relations tool -- look no further. Ground-Game Magazine® is designed to assist you with building name recognition, outreach, press release delivery, strategy development/support and much, much, more.
DISCLAIMER
The opinions expressed by Aubrey R. Taylor, publisher of Ground-Game Magazine® in this "BLOG POST" do not necessarily reflect the views or opinions of Aubrey R. Taylor Communications; or supporters, sponsors, advertisers, friends, associates, or anyone else associated directly or indirectly to Aubrey R. Taylor Communications. Call (832)212-8735 for more information.
“Let’s Play As a Team in 2016”
Aubrey R. Taylor
President & Chief Executive Officer
Aubrey R. Taylor Communications
957 NASA Parkway #251
Houston, Texas 77058-3039
Email: aubreyrtaylor@gmail.com
Phone: 832.212.8735
Cell: 281.788.3033
